A projection of 100,000 to 200,000 U.S. deaths in total U.S. population of 331 million is a 0.03%-0.06% death rate.
- That’s a maximum death rate of 2/3 of 1% of the entire U.S. population.
The Flu of 1918 resulted in 675,000 U.S. deaths in a total U.S. population of 103 million, a 0.7% death rate.
- More U.S. WWI soldiers died of The Flu of 1918 (63,114 from disease, mostly The Flu) than from combat (53,402).
REASON #1 FOR CALM: THE DEATH RATE IN PERSPECTIVE
Confirmed cases info is sketchy. Comparing “the number of deaths” to the “total population” provides an accurate current death rate. Note that THE WORLD IS NOWHERE NEAR THE LOSSES IT INCURRED IN THE 1918 FLU.
| WHEN/WHAT/WHERE | TOTAL DEATHS as of 3/30/2020 | TOTAL POPULATION | DEATH RATE NOW |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1918 Flu Global | 20 million to 40 million | 1.8 billion | #1 EVER: 1.1% to 2.2% |
| 2020 All Cancer Global | 14 million | 7.7 billion | #2 EVER: 0.2000% |
| 2020 COVID-19 Global | 35,114 | 7.7 billion | C19 GLOBAL: 0.2000% |
| 2020 COVID-19 Italy | 10,779 | 61 million | C19 #1 TIE: 0.0200% |
| 2020 COVID-19 Spain | 7,340 | 47 million | C19 #1 TIE: 0.0200% |
| 2020 COVID-19 France | 2,606 | 70 million | C19 #3: 0.0040% |
| 2020 COVID-19 Iran | 2,757 | 83 million | C19 #4: 0.0030% |
| 2020 COVID-19 U.K. | 1,228 | 67 million | C19 #5: 0.0020% |
| 2020 COVID-19 U.S. | 2,572 | 331 million | C19 #6: 0.0008% |
| 2020 COVID-19 South Korea | 158 | 51 million | C19 #7: 0.0003% |
| 2020 COVID-19 China | 3,186 | 1.5 billion | C19 #7: 0.0002% |
REASON #2 FOR CALM: INGENUITY OF COMPANIES
Companies are inventing rapid feedback testing kits for in-home/corporate use; others are pivoting quickly to produce ventilators, masks, gloves, sanitizers, etc.—all the elements needed for economies to start producing again ASAP.
- With the new testing deployed, the individuals least likely to spread the virus can get back to work—yeah!
- Remote work forces anytime/anywhere and digital/social communication/planning/sales are operational—yeah! Innovative companies are selling, hiring, and closing deals online now. If in doubt, call me at 630.466.7095 so we can discuss the data in more detail. I am in contact with those firms and with many more now in process—their success is truly due to their innovation (carpe diem!), remote work forces, and operational digital/social systems.